Ep. 361: One Nation's Soft Vote and the Secret Harbour By-Election | Australia's Labor Podcast
This episode of Socially Democratic is a special two-parter recorded on the eve of the ALP National Conference in Adelaide.
Part one: pollster John Armitage from Qdos Research joins Stephen for a mid-year federal check-in. One Nation is at 30% in Newspoll. The Liberals have collapsed to 19%. And the swing is coming from women.
Part two: Priya Brown from GRA Partners breaks down the Secret Harbour by-election in WA: a long winter campaign in a mortgage-belt seat that One Nation has firmly in its sights.
📊 One Nation at 30%: what it means on two-party preferred, and why the vote is still soft
🏛️ Why the Liberals going One Nation-lite is electoral suicide
🧭 Competent vs caring: how voters see Albanese, Taylor, and Hanson
👩 Why Labor is losing women to One Nation, and how to get them back
🗺️ Secret Harbour: demographics, redrawn boundaries, and One Nation's perfect test seat
🏆 Why Labor's campaign machine gives them the edge in a long winter by-election
Don't miss this ep.
Socially Democratic is an Australian Labor politics and campaigns podcast with expert guests. New episodes every Friday.
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